The results of new Mountaineer Research polling released by ProgressNow Colorado and Global Strategy Group focused on Colorado’s Third Congressional District show that embattled Rep. Lauren Boebert is paying a price for ignoring the issues most relevant to her constituents, and is locked in a tied race against Democrat Adam Frisch despite the district’s substantial Republican advantage.
“After coming very close (546 votes) to defeat last November, Lauren Boebert had a chance to change course and begin to address the issues that matter most in Southern and Western Colorado,” said ProgressNow Colorado Executive Direct Sara Loflin. “Instead, Boebert continued to fixate on politics and conspiracy theories instead of the needs of her district. As a result, Boebert’s standing worsened substantially since we polled in 2021. In a district that shouldn’t be at risk for Republicans, Boebert is once again setting her party up for a desperate fight to keep this seat.”
“Boebert’s standing has weakened since we last polled the district in 2021,” said Andrew Baumann of Global Strategy Group. “Voters overwhelmingly believe that she is focused on promoting herself and defending Donald Trump – not on the issues that matter to them. Boebert has a very defined negative brand: voters see her as a far-right extremist who is out of touch and focused on the wrong things. As a result, even though the district tilts toward Republicans on the generic ballot by 11 points, according to our poll, Boebert is tied with Adam Frisch 45%-45%.”
“Perhaps more concerning for the incumbent, Boebert trails Frisch by 19 points among the 61 percent of the electorate that can ID both candidates,” Baumann said. “This indicates Frisch has significant room to pull ahead of Boebert if he can build his name ID further. On the other hand, the MAGA brand is very unpopular, even in a right-leaning district, with unaffiliated voters disliking both MAGA Republicans and MAGA extremists.”
Read the April 2023 issue of the Mountaineer here.
For the complete poll memo, click here.
Survey toplines availble here.
Research presented in the Mountaineer is the result of a survey conducted between March 29 and April 2, 2023, among 500 likely voters and an additional 100 unaffiliated likely voters in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District. The margin of error at the 95% confidence level for CO-03 voters is +/- 4.4%. The margin of error on sub-samples is greater.